Probabilistic weather forecasting represents a paradigm shift from single-value predictions to probability distributions that quantify uncertainty in atmospheric states. Ensemble prediction systems ...

Amperon’s new short-term forecasting tool is designed to help market and operational decision-making in a renewables-heavy grid. Image: Better Energy. US-based energy forecasting company Amperon has ...

Scientists have created a novel probabilistic model for 5-minutes ahead PV power forecasting. The method combines a convolutional neural network with bidirectional long short-term memory, attention ...

What happened to the scorching El Niño summer we were bracing for? Why has the east coast of Australia been drenched while the north and west gets the heat? The criticism is understandable. But is it ...

Markets are full of predictions that cannot be checked until after the fact. Implied probability is different. It is already priced, already quantified, and therefore testable. When you translate a ...