Recession fears have cooled, but a labor market chart flagged by one bearish strategist might give bullish investors pause.

If the Sahm Rule Recession Indicator holds, Edwards’ warning appears justified. But the rule is not infallible. After earning ...

Despite bullish sentiment around AI and Fed rate cuts, I see mounting economic weakness that could broaden out and weigh on the market. Key recession signals include the Leading Economic Index, ...

A trend in the stock market shows investors are betting on continued US growth, one firm says. Historically, an increase in defensive valuations has preceded a recession, but that's not happening.

Yield curve inversions have historically preceded recessions, but not all inversions guarantee a downturn; context and economic conditions matter. Watching long-term/short-term yield patterns after an ...